AI has made personalisation significantly more powerful.
We can identify behavioural patterns, detect intent and predict the likelihood of a customer taking a particular action with increasing sophistication. That capability is enormously valuable. But prediction and understanding are not the same thing. A model may tell us that someone is highly likely to buy, enquire, engage or leave. It does not necessarily tell us why.
The why matters.
Customers make decisions because of changing priorities, timing, relationships, organisational pressures, risk appetite and a host of other factors that may never appear cleanly in a dataset.
There is another dimension to this too: Personalisation is supposed to be evidence-led, but internal assumptions can easily shape the experience before we have really understood the customer.
A senior stakeholder believes a proposition should work. A team has invested heavily in a capability and wants to demonstrate its value. A product needs greater adoption. An audience is assumed to be interested because it fits an existing hypothesis.
Slowly, the question changes. Instead of asking what the customer needs, we start asking how personalisation can help deliver the outcome the organisation has already decided it wants.
This is where experimentation becomes so important, not because every interaction needs to become an experiment, but because testing permits organisations to be wrong.